7:20 PM CDT | August 28, 2017
Tropical Storm Harvey is back over water again, just off the Middle Texas Coast. It is expected to make its second landfall Tuesday night or Wednesday. Right now, the National Hurricane Center believes it is most likely to make landfall in far Southeast Texas. There has been a noticeable trend toward the east with the latest model guidance. Most of the weather models show Harvey being picked up and lifted through East Texas and into the Mississippi Valley. There are a few western outliers, but as of now, it appears an eastern track is more likely. We will continue to monitor for any changes, as a westward shift in the track would change the forecast significantly.
Looking past Harvey, the Gulf of Mexico will still need to be monitored this weekend and into next week. There are some signs that another disturbance may try to develop during this time. Is it likely? Not at this time, but it does need to be watched. The weather models show a large trough digging into the Eastern US the middle of next week. This fits the recurring weather pattern, as a similar pattern was observed the second week of July. The coolest air will likely be to our northeast, but we should see at least a slight cool-down. You can get the latest from Texas Storm Watch on the blog and Facebook page.