8:25 AM CDT | August 24, 2017
Tropical Storm Harvey has become very organized since yesterday evening. It now has winds of 60 MPH with a minimum pressure of 986 MB. It continues to drift toward the north and north-northwest; but, it is expected to take a turn toward the northwest. Most weather models made a slight shift eastward late last night, which was not surprising given that the circulation drifted farther north than they had indicated.
The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a Category 1 Hurricane with winds of 85 MPH by Friday night. Given the favorable environment and what we have seen with it over the last 12 hours, I personally believe that Harvey could easily exceed 85 MPH winds before landfall. The next update from the National Hurricane Center is at 10:00 AM. Regardless, its slow-moving nature means multiple days of heavy rain and flooding, especially if it loops back toward the east as several weather models suggest. Significant rainfall amounts in excess of 12-24 inches are likely. There will also be a risk for isolated Tornadoes to the north and east of the circulation.
Please keep a close eye on this system, and if you have any friends or family in the path, share this and make sure they are aware. Listen for later statements from the National Hurricane Center, and plan accordingly. Updates will continue to be posted here and on Facebook, so be sure to check back.