11:05 AM CDT | August 23, 2017
Harvey is organizing in the Gulf of Mexico this morning. The National Hurricane Center found a closed circulation and upgraded Harvey to a tropical depression at 10:00 AM today. Hurricane and Storm Surge Watches have been issued for portions of the Texas Coast. This is the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center. There is still uncertainty with regards to its track, so the “cone of uncertainty” is fairly large at this time.
This is a recent loop of Tropical Depression Harvey, courtesy of NASA’s new GOES-16 satellite. As noted on the Facebook page this morning, you can see towering cumulus forming in and around the circulation. These strong storms are indicative of a strengthening system. The NHC noted that its structure is asymmetrical right now. This may prevent rapid strengthening in the short-term; however, once its structure improves, I personally would not rule out the possibility for a period of rapid intensification given the environment.