6:30 PM CST | January 29, 2018
As seen on the Facebook page early Monday evening:
"Cooler air arrives Wednesday night-Thursday, but the more significant cold snap looks to be late this weekend/early next week. Moisture also appears limited with the first system, as discussed on the blog a few days ago. The more interesting weather changes could begin late this weekend.
I continue to see multiple opportunities for winter weather in the state during February as our pattern continues to cycle. We know from what have seen earlier that there will be the potential for overrunning events (moisture lifted over a shallow, cold airmass). Chaos levels with the model guidance are pretty high. Some show not-so-active weather during the first 10-14 days of February while others show a much more active pattern and even an all-out Winter Storm (or two).
In a nutshell, much of the guidance sees changes on the way, but they are having difficulty resolving it. That is why they vary so greatly from model-to-model and even run-to-run. As discussed on the blog over the last week, colder snaps will become increasingly likely as we get into next month. We will have to watch any energy behind these fronts that could pull moisture over the cold airmass. The pattern is capable of this as we have seen multiple times already. I will keep you posted on the latest."