Weather Discussion #0340

8:00 PM CST | January 19, 2018

As seen on the Facebook page this afternoon...

"I want to take a few minutes to share my thoughts on the Sunday system. As mentioned earlier this week, there will be the potential for Severe Weather on Sunday as a strong system drags a dryline into North Texas. Right now, the most favorable conditions appear to be east of the I-35 corridor. Conditions appear supportive of a *few* Severe Storms capable of Damaging Winds in excess of 60 MPH, a brief Tornado or two, and Hail. I do not anticipate anything widespread or significant at this time, but I want people to be aware of the threat since it is not often we see Severe Weather in January.

I highlighted the I-35 corridor of North Central Texas with a "lesser concern" as the dryline may sweep through this area before the cap erodes for surface-based storms. If the timing of the dryline slows a couple hours or the cap breaks earlier, then the threat would increase for places like Dallas-Fort Worth and Waco. Otherwise, a 30-40% chance of showers/thunderstorms exists for this area on Sunday with better chances (50-80%) just to the east.

To avoid any confusion, I will be referring to the SPC Outlooks beginning tomorrow. I just wanted to illustrate my personal thoughts on Sunday's setup."