3:00 PM CST | March 25, 2018
Right now, we have a dryline from Wichita Falls to near Abilene. It may make a bit more eastward progress before retreating back toward the west by early evening. As you can see on the latest satellite loop, there is a developing cumulus field in Northwest Texas. This is where the triple point is located and represents the area with the best chance for storm development. I believe at least a storm or two is likely to fire in this area within the next 2-3 hours. Anything that develops will likely become severe with Very Large Hail and Damaging Winds as it tracks eastward. A brief Tornado is possible as well. Storm development is possible farther south, where a slight chance of storms exists. Again, most will not see storms today, but those that do could see severe weather.
Tomorrow, Northwest Texas will again have a risk of severe weather. Storm coverage will be greater tomorrow than today. With this in mind, the SPC has a Slight Risk for Northwest Texas and parts of western North/West Central Texas for Monday-Monday night. A Marginal Risk surrounds the Slight Risk. If I have time, I will try to post a discussion on the blog tonight regarding Monday's and Tuesday's storms. Be sure to LIKE us on Facebook and check back for updates!