10:00 AM CDT | May 2, 2018
Severe Weather hammered the Central Plains yesterday, especially Kansas and Nebraska. There were numerous reports of Large Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes. As of this morning, the SPC shows 165 reports from yesterday. Some of the more significant reports included a multi-vortex Tornado south of Concordia, Kansas; 4.00" Hail near Octavia, Nebraska & Susank, Kansas; and a 80 MPH Wind Gust near Wymore, Nebraska. Unfortunately, most of these areas are at risk for more Severe Weather today.
Today, there is a Slight Risk of Severe Weather for the eastern Texas Panhandle, Northwest Texas, and West Central Texas. Storms will develop around midday from Southwest Kansas into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. This activity will intensify as it tracks east and northeast. Widely scattered storms will develop along the dryline farther south later this afternoon. The most favorable conditions for Tornadoes, possibly strong, will be from Western Oklahoma into Central Kansas. If you have friends or family in that part of the country, please make sure they are aware. For Texas, the primary hazards through tonight will be Quarter to Golf Ball-size Hail and Damaging Winds. A couple Tornadoes are possible as well, but the greater risk will be just to our north.
More storms are expected to develop this evening and overnight across West Central Texas. This activity will lift northeast and pose a threat for mainly Large Hail and Damaging Winds. Upscale growth into a cluster or two is possible. The model guidance varies on the coverage of storms from West Central Texas into North Texas tonight. Tonight's activity will have an impact on the environment Thursday. Isolated Severe Storms will be possible tonight/early Thursday morning as far east as the I-35 corridor of North Texas. The SPC has a Slight Risk for Severe Weather across North Central Texas on Thursday. The magnitude of Thursday's risk will depend on the effects from earlier activity. If the atmosphere is able to recover near the dryline, which will be situated in western North Texas by late Thursday afternoon, we could see additional Strong to Severe Storms develop.
Adjustments can be expected to the forecast as this unfolds. If you live in or near the risk areas, be sure to have a way to get the latest info from the National Weather Service. A weather radio is the best way to get watch and warning information. I will be posting periodic updates on the Facebook page, so be sure to Like us and check back!