The Recurring Cycle & The Weather Today

4:00 PM CST | December 1, 2018

Next, we have a quick round of snow for the Texas Panhandle late this weekend. Beginning Sunday evening, areas of light snow will develop. At this time, it looks like between a dusting and a half inch are likely for many with isolated heavier amounts of 1-2". Amounts will be refined over the next 24-36 hours. Then, colder weather returns to the rest of the state by Monday and especially Tuesday. Freezes are expected for many locations during this time-frame. Temperatures will attempt to moderate thereafter, but another system arrives by Thursday night/Friday. In addition to more rain and some thunderstorms, this one will need to be monitored for winter weather as well. The Texas Panhandle is not the only area that will need to monitor - areas farther south and east could see freezing and/or frozen precipitation. This is all part of the recurring cycle. I would recommend looking at the November 25th discussion, in case you missed it. I went over what we saw at the start of the first cycle in October, and how it would relate to what we are seeing now - the start of the second cycle. It is incredible to see this theory at work.

Texas Panhandle Snow Chances December 2-3, 2018

Yesterday's system brought severe weather to portions of the state - similar to the first cycle when a strong system tracked into the Plains on October 9th. Temperatures will start to drop tomorrow and especially early next week. The system that is due at the end of the work week is part of the cycle that brought well below normal temperatures in the middle of October. It was also a wetter period. For example, DFW Airport saw a high of 49*F and a low of 41*F on October 15th with nearly 3.00" of rain. The average temperature was 23*F below normal! This was 6 days after the first system on the 9th. It is not a coincidence that several weather models bring Arctic air into the state late this week - 6 or 7 days after this most recent system. Nothing is set in stone, obviously, but the colder solutions have support from the recurring cycle theory. This is why I will be closely watching as we get closer.

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DFW Airport Monthly Weather Summary October 2018