Temperature Trends Through Tuesday, February 19th

7:30 PM CST | February 12, 2019

I just wanted to share a quick video I made this evening. I pulled the forecast highs for several cities in Texas through Tuesday - via the National Weather Service website. I charted this information and the temperature departures from normal for the given cities. A cold front will push into the state Thursday night with the boundary stalling near I-20 by Friday morning. The latest guidance suggests that the boundary may actually retreat northward during the day on Friday. This would mean another spring-like day would be in store for most Texans on Friday. That said, the guidance often handles the progression of shallow, cold airmasses poorly more than 24-48 hours away. More on this below...

If the frontal boundary does stall or even retreats northward on Friday, it should get a stronger push southward later this weekend with a reinforcing shot of cold air next week. We have an active stretch of weather on the way with the possibility for wintry precipitation. Most weather models indicate a system impacting the region early next week. This is why many of your local forecasts indicate rain chances increasing. Near and northwest of a Denver City, to Snyder, to Bowie line have at least a slight chance for a wintry mix... or in the case of the panhandle, snow.

While it is out of the range of most of the model guidance right now, I will be watching February 21st through the 25th for another system which could bring us another opportunity for some late season winter weather. It is obviously to early to get into specifics at this point, but I did want to show the latest temperature trends from the National Weather Service.

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