The Worst Weather Is ALMOST Over

5:00 PM CST | March 4, 2019

Most Texans woke up to a VERY cold morning today. Places like Austin, San Antonio, and Lufkin all saw freezes this morning. Farther north, a damaging freeze struck the Texas Panhandle and North Texas. If you scroll down, you can see just some of the lows observed early this morning. While it is unusual to see such frigid temperatures in early March, there have been certain indicators that suggested this possibility. This is why I wrote about it and began sounding the alarm back on the 24th of February.

Monday Morning Low Temperatures Valid March 4, 2019

We have one more frigid night in store before we start thawing. Make sure you protect any sensitive plants or animals, if you have not already. High temperatures tomorrow, while still well below normal, will be bearable. We warm even further on Wednesday, and by Thursday, we are seeing seasonably warm weather again. This trend continues on Friday. The model guidance indicates a fairly strong system lifting out of the Southwest US and into the Plains by Saturday. The increasing lift should erode the cap, allowing for showers and storms to develop across parts of the state Friday night. Storm chances continue on Saturday with the highest chances east of I-35. The time of year and the expected storm track does bring up the possibility for strong storms. This potential will be refined once we get closer.

In the meantime, this is what one of our weather models suggests from daybreak Friday to sunset Saturday. The first loop shows the mid-levels of the atmosphere, which is best for viewing weather systems and disturbances. The second loop shows the surface pressure and precipitation during the same time period. Keep in mind that this is just one model. The actual conditions will not look exactly like this, BUT it does give you the general idea of what forecasters are monitoring.

If you enjoy the cold weather, you will love the next couple of days. If you enjoy warm weather, just wait... you will have some really nice days later this week, temperature-wise. After tonight, the worst of this latest cold snap will be over. Once our next weather system moves onshore the West Coast Thursday night, the model guidance should get a better handle on the timing and storm setup come Friday night and Saturday. This may not be the only opportunity for some strong storms over the next 10 days. More on that later this week. For the latest local weather information for your area, please visit the National Weather Service website. You can also find Texas Storm Watch on Facebook. To help make sure you do not miss any updates, LIKE the Facebook page and join the Facebook group.