8:00 AM CDT | April 13, 2019
A line of storms is organizing across West Central/western North Texas early this morning. This has prompted severe weather watches for this part of the state. Additional Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches can be expected as the day progresses as this line shifts eastward and more storms develop ahead of it. I have attached a (non-updating) loop of the radar overlaid with the latest watches and risk areas. The warm front is likely to remain south of the I-20 corridor of North Texas and the I-30 corridor of Northeast Texas today. This means that the greatest risk for damaging winds and tornadoes will generally be south of both interstates. North of the boundary, large hail and strong/damaging winds will be possible with the most intense cells. The tornado risk, however, will be very low as surface temperatures will be cool and instability limited.
The region is likely to see its first severe weather outbreak of the season today. This is most likely to occur from East Texas through the Lower-Mississippi Valley from the midday hours into tonight. Across the enhanced and moderate risk areas, very large hail, damaging winds, and several tornadoes appear likely. There is the possibility for a few strong tornadoes, particularly in the moderate risk area. If you have friends or family who may be impacted, please share this article with them via Facebook, Twitter, WhatsApp, etc. by using the buttons at the top of the page.
I have attached a loop from one of the latest weather models below. It depicts the simulated radar conditions through 4:00 PM this afternoon. Please keep in mind that this is simply a model and that the radar will not look EXACTLY like this. This model, however, is in great agreement with the other guidance on today's weather. The purpose of this graphic is to simply illustrate how our system will evolve over the next several hours.
There is no reason to be anxious. Just keep an eye on the weather and have a plan in the event a warning is issued for your location. Be sure to have a way to get the latest watch and warning information from the National Weather Service today. A weather radio is the best way to receive such information since, unlike a mobile device, it is not impacted by data outages or limits. For the latest local weather information for your area, please visit the National Weather Service website. You can also find Texas Storm Watch on Facebook. To help make sure you do not miss any updates, LIKE the Facebook page and join the Facebook group. Another great resource during weather events is the National Weather Service Product Feeds page: http://texasstormwatch.com/national-weather-service-product-feeds.html. Simply find your county, and click the associated office. You can view the most recent products issued by your local National Weather Service office. It is great to have pulled up on your computer or mobile browser. Stay safe, everyone!