Severe Weather Risk Focusing South & East

9:20 PM CDT | April 6, 2019

This morning's storms arrived into North Central Texas earlier than anticipated. This did not allow areas such as Dallas-Fort Worth heat up whatsoever. This was a GOOD thing, though. Check out what happened farther south where instability was much greater. Severe Thunderstorms impacted the I-35 corridor of Central Texas through East Texas. There were numerous reports of large hail and some damaging winds across this corridor. The worst report, by far, was in Grapeland [Houston County]. For those of you may not be familiar with this town, it is located between Palestine and Crockett in East Texas. Significant hail up to 4.50" in diameter was reported! Other reports of golf ball to baseball-size hail were seen in the vicinities of Marquez, Neches, Jacksonville, Madisonville, Alto, Rockdale, and Kennard. A Tornado Watch remains in effect for parts of Eastern Texas until 10:00 PM. Next, our focus will shift to South Texas.

SPC Storm Reports Valid Saturday Evening, April 6, 2019 SPC Day 1 Outlook Valid Saturday, April 6, 2019

It has been a while since South Texas has seen a round of severe weather. Additional storms will arrive out of Mexico tonight, most likely after 1:00 AM. This activity will be pretty organized as it lifts east and northeast. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary hazards, but I would certainly not rule out a tornado or two. If you or someone you know lives in this part of the state, make sure you/they have a way to get the latest watch and warning information. Not everyone will see severe weather, but I do anticipate at least a handful of reports late tonight/early Sunday morning. I have attached a loop from one of this evening's weather models. Please keep in mind that it is only a model, and that the radar will not look exactly like this. It does give you the general idea of what we expect to unfold, though. The loop is from 1:00 AM to 7:00 AM.

00z HRRR Simulated Radar Valid Through 7:00 AM Sunday, April 7, 2019

This activity will continue to progress into Southeast Texas Sunday morning. I have attached tomorrow's severe weather outlook below. I would not be surprised to see Southeast Texas upgraded to an enhanced risk in later outlooks. If I am still up by their 1:00 AM update, I will share it on the Facebook page. Regardless, a continued risk for large hail, damaging winds, and even a couple tornadoes will continue. As the main piece of energy ejects into the state on Sunday, it will have kind of a "tropical" appearance both on radar and satellite. The environment is very warm and moist, even for this time of year. While not a tropical system, it will behave a bit like one with more convection generating near the center of it in the wake of the first round. At least some risk for severe weather will exist. Localized flooding is a possibility as well, particularly where heavier rain has already fallen. Across North Texas, there will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening too. An isolated severe storm will be possible where there is some daytime heating/destabilization.

To reiterate, not everyone will see severe weather; however, the possibility exists for those in the risk areas tonight and tomorrow. The best way to get the latest warning info is via a weather radio. Unlike mobile devices, they are not impacted by data limits or outages. You can also visit our NWS Product Feeds to view the most recent products issued by your local office. For the latest local weather information for your area, please visit the National Weather Service website. You can also find Texas Storm Watch on Facebook. To help make sure you do not miss any updates, LIKE the Facebook page and join the Facebook group. I will be posting periodic updates, so check back frequently!

SPC Day 2 Outlook Valid Sunday, April 7, 2019