3:15 PM CDT | May 5, 2019
Many Texans are seeing a brief break from the rain this weekend; however, storm chances continue for the western part of the state. There is a slight risk for severe weather later this afternoon and evening across parts of Northwest/West Texas. Primary hazards will be large hail and damaging winds, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out with any supercell. Below today's outlook, I have attached the simulated radar conditions by one of the most recent weather models. It is valid from 4:00 PM this afternoon to 1:00 AM CDT tonight. Please keep in mind that it is simply a model and that the radar will not look EXACTLY like this. It does give you a general idea of what could pan out, though.
As storms collapse in western North Texas late this evening, there will be some strong winds. This is due to a layer of very dry air above the surface. This is what we saw earlier this past week. A similar scenario is expected Monday afternoon with more activity developing across the higher terrain of the Texas Panhandle and parts of West Texas. A more conditional risk of severe weather will exist farther east across Central Texas. This is associated with a disturbance that will lift out of Mexico late in the day. You can see the latest outlook for tomorrow below.
By Tuesday, storm chances increase across the rest of the state. The Storm Prediction Center has a slight risk highlighted on Tuesday for parts of the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and Northern Texas. Adjustments can be expected to the risk area as we get closer. The risk expands farther east on Wednesday. They have already highlighted a slight risk of severe weather across much of the state. Wednesday's setup for severe weather may prove most favorable out of the next few days. It is something to watch...
Remember, a watch means that conditions are favorable for the development of severe weather. A warning means that severe weather is imminent or is already occurring and to seek shelter immediately. For the latest local weather information for your area, please visit the National Weather Service website. You can also find Texas Storm Watch on Facebook. To help make sure you do not miss any updates, LIKE the Facebook page and join the Facebook group.